Special · Player map
Brazil
October 2026
This page is a reading — “some analysts see it this way.” It is not a verdict on who is right. Based on material as of October 2026; later events are not reflected.
Goals
- Represent the Global South; BRICS.
Cards in hand
- Food: supplies about one-third of US coffee.
Moves, read through game theory
Warn of tit-for-tat, then negotiate
Against the US 50% tariff (July 2025), it said it could invoke its Reciprocity Law and file a WTO complaint.
Sources: datamarnews
Talks between leaders, then a rollback
After talks between the leaders, the US withdrew its 40% tariff on food (executive order of 20 Nov 2025, retroactive to 13 Nov). This can be read as a real case of “signal of payback → the other side backs down.”
Sources: Fortune
Long-run superpower qualities
To stay on top for a long time, a power has to be strong, trustworthy, and able to extend a hand again.
- PowerModerateSupplies about one-third of US coffee
Sources: Fortune
- PromiseModerateNegotiated after announcing the Reciprocity Law
Sources: datamarnews
- EmbraceStrongAgreed to resume talks (leaders' talks)
Sources: Fortune
Power: is it strong? · Promise: can it be trusted? · Embrace: does it reach out again after a quarrel?
A summary of evidence from 2025–26 records. Not a ranking, and not praise or blame.
Sources
- Fortune (2025-11-21)
- datamarnews
The film this page belongs to
Will there be a world war?
Will there be a world war? Without taking sides, we read through game theory why things grow dangerous even when everyone is rational. (As of October 2026)
Player map