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Each country’s position and moves
October 2026 · A reading, not a verdict
How the countries in the video stand today and what moves they are making, one by one, with sources.
Great powers 3
- ChinaThe 15th Five-Year Plan (approved by the National People's Congress on 12 Mar 2026) pledged to achieve self-reliance in science and technology through “extraordinary measures.”
- RussiaIt cites "security" as the reason for the war in Ukraine.
- United StatesThe first chapter of the National Security Strategy 2025 (signed 4 Dec 2025) is the Western Hemisphere, and its title is "the Trump Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine".
Regional powers 11
- BrazilRepresent the Global South; BRICS.
- EU (Germany and France)A seat where the rules are written (AI Act, the Brussels effect) and rearmament (ReArm Europe).
- IndiaIt stresses “strategic autonomy.”
- IsraelRemove Iran's nuclear capability
- JapanStrengthen defense capability.
- South Korea“National-interest-centered pragmatic diplomacy.” It styles itself a “bridge” between East and West.
- North KoreaTo cement its status as a nuclear state.
- Saudi Arabia and the GulfDiversify security guarantees, and transform the economy
- TaiwanKeep the status quo and deter.
- TürkiyeAn independent mediator within NATO
- UkrainePreserve its sovereignty; secure security guarantees.
Southeast Asia 6
- IndonesiaA “free and active” non-aligned policy; 8% growth.
- Malaysia“Nobody's side.” It keeps ties with its largest trading partner China and with the US as well. “We speak up without fear or favour.”
- PhilippinesDefend its rights in the South China Sea. The basis is the 2016 arbitral ruling (cited by the Philippine national security adviser, as reported).
- Singapore"Neither pro-China nor pro-US, but pro-Singapore."
- ThailandLong-standing balanced diplomacy, "bamboo that bends with the wind".
- Vietnam"Bamboo diplomacy" (bends flexibly, but the roots are firm).
The film this page belongs to
Will there be a world war?
Will there be a world war? Without taking sides, we read through game theory why things grow dangerous even when everyone is rational. (As of October 2026)